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Springboks' dominance of the world rankings comes under increased threat

PRETORIA, SOUTH AFRICA - JULY 05: Eben Etzebeth of South Africa wins the line out during the 2025 Castle Lager Incoming Series match between South Africa and Italy at Loftus Versfeld on July 05, 2025 in Pretoria, South Africa. (Photo by Ashley Vlotman - Gallo Images/Getty Images)

Unless they lose to Italy in one of the biggest upsets in recent rugby history, South Africa are guaranteed to retain the number one spot in the world rugby rankings for at least another week, but New Zealand are breathing down their necks.

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The world champions have been top of the rankings since replacing Ireland in mid-November last year, and no one has come near to toppling them since.

However, with the Springboks unable to add to their rating of 92.78-point rating due to the relative weakness of the opposition they are facing this July, the All Blacks will have them well in their sights going into The Rugby Championship if they go on and complete a 3-0 series win over France.

The All Blacks managed an unconvincing 31-27 win in the opening test last weekend and will reduce the Springboks’ advantage over them in the rankings to just 1.06 points if they back it up with another win over France in Wellington this Saturday.

Currently, the Springboks are 1.8 points clear at the top, but New Zealand will receive 0.74 points for beating Les Bleus, while Rassie Erasmus’ side will get absolutely nothing for a second win in as many weeks over the Italians.

On another busy weekend of test rugby, all of the teams in the top 10 below South Africa – except third-placed Ireland and sixth-placed Argentina – can improve their positions through their endeavours or other results.

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Meanwhile, there is a chance of redemption for Wales as they look to put last week’s 24-19 defeat to Japan behind them in the return match with the Brave Blossoms with a first win in 19 Tests.

If successful, Wales will be restored to 12th, having slipped to an all-time low of 14th as a result of last week’s defeat.

Rankings history could be made in the semi-finals of the Rugby Africa Cup in Uganda this Sunday.

Algeria are already at an all-time high of 54th and will climb to their highest position if they beat Namibia and reach a second consecutive final, potentially moving up by as many as 13 places to 41st.

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Alternatively, Namibia will equal their lowest-ever position of 29th if they are soundly beaten.

Defending champions Zimbabwe take on Kenya in the other semi-final, knowing that a big win combined with a defeat for Canada against Belgium will take them up to 24th, their best position in the rankings.

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Comments

46 Comments
H
Hammer Head 30 days ago

The world rankings is one thing - and a handy yardstick to be sure.


I’d like to see the introduction of a measure of Aura. Get a sense of where the ABs Aura is at this stage.


Discuss.

W
William Thompson 30 days ago

The ranking system is flawed but interesting. Unfortunately it doesn’t take into account the fact that France has sent a B team. I felt quite embarrassed for the All Blacks last week. They nearly lost.

H
Hammer Head 30 days ago

And France sent their C team. Just to be clear.

Very disrespectful and embarrassing at the same time.

H
Hammer Head 30 days ago

It does take into account that France sent their B team in that France will now drop down the rankings if they lose for it. New Zealand theoretically gets an easier climb up the rankings only they win.

F
Flankly 30 days ago

The Bok games against lower ranked competition are part of a plan to introduce new caps, shake out the depth chart, exercise some TonyBall ideas, build winning momentum, and ramp towards the big matches later in the season.


Does that increase the threat of the Boks losing the #1 ranking, or does it increase the threat to NZ, Ireland and France of losing to the Boks (and seeing the Boks increase their rankings lead by EOY 2025)?

H
Hammer Head 30 days ago

Well France potentially giving up 3 losses to the ABs on this tour means that NZ will likely overtake the boks. And the Boks playing lower ranked teams, even winning, doesn’t help much.


I think the best time to note the rankings is after the RC is done. And both the NH and SH competitions are done.


NZ having two home games against the Boks means they have more in their favour in terms of winning the RC this year.


One things for certain, if the Boks do beat the ABs at home, at Eden Park and win the RC, this bok team will certainly make a name for themselves.


However. I do think that Aus and Arg are going to potentially throw a spanner in the works.

R
RW 31 days ago

Well I guess RugbyPass can worry about World Rankings which matters little to Rassie and the Boks. We know we are the best, we don't need random numbers to verify that

R
RedWarrior 30 days ago

Very arrogant and ignorant take. Rankings matter in order to have a fair tournament. If the Boks want to be seen as the best though should champion fair rankings and fair draws.

W
Wayneo 31 days ago

Cool story bro, now do Wales

H
Hammer Head 30 days ago

Wales are Fncked!

F
FC 31 days ago

The former rugby union or the fat chicks on Instagram?

Oh sorry, those are wHales.

My bad.

R
RedWarrior 31 days ago

If Wales lose to Japan again they look certain to be in the third ranking group for the RWC draw. That means that two teams will be better than them in their pool.

That means that even if they qualify out of their pool (4 out of 6 third placed teams qualify), they are likely to have an uphill task to get past the round of 16. As RWC ranking points are doubled, this will have a knock on effect on their points for the period after the RWC and RWC 2031.

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